๐ฆ X-sourced swing setups, each confirmed by as many independent credible accounts as we can find (๐ฐ skin-in-the-game posts count double), cross-checked with ๐ options flow, checked against real price data, then graded. โ Act only on B+ or better; lower grades are watch-only.
| Ticker | Grade | Score | Setup | ๐ฃ๏ธ | ๐ฐ | ๐ | Entry | Target | Stop | R:R | My verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ๐ GOOGL | A | 88 | Coiling above the 200 SMA under 356โ360 resistance: buy the breakout | 5 | 0 | 10 | $356.00 | $372.00 | $349.90 | 2.62:1 | โ Agree |
| ๐ META | A- | 82 | Bullish reversal off the 20 SMA: buy a pullback, not the extension | 3 | 0 | 10 | $745.00 | $786.80 | $726.00 | 2.2:1 | โ ๏ธ Cautious |
| ๐ AAPL | B+ | 78 | Breakout to all-time highs, back-test held | 8 | 2 | 3 | $341.27 | $357.19 | $334.90 | 2.5:1 | โ Agree |
A+ 90+B+ 75+B 70+C 55+F <45
| Source credibility | 20/20 | 5 credible accounts, 0 ๐ฐ counted double โ weight 5 ร 5 | |
| Technical confirmation | 21/25 | MAs above 20/50/200: 3/3 ยท RSI 58.2 ยท claim partial ยท Trigger not hit yet: closed 353.78, pre-market ~355.7, just under 356 (+0) | |
| Reward:risk | 13/15 | 2.62:1 (R:R/3 ร 15) | |
| Volume / momentum | 4/10 | Relative volume 0.91x | |
| Sector flow | 10/10 | XLC 5d +0.6% vs SPY โ0.1%, rel vol 1.09: inflow | |
| ๐ Options flow | 20/20 | C/P vol 2.94 (+3) ยท C/P OI 2.35 (+2) ยท 2 credible flow post(s) agree (+6) |
No credible account said they are in this trade. Confirmations are commentary only (weight 1 each).
XLC 5d +0.6% vs SPY โ0.1%, rel vol 1.09: inflow
| Expiry | Call vol | Put vol | C/P | Call OI | Put OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 113,155 | 38,720 | 2.92 | 38,213 | 17,264 |
| 2026-10-16 | 82,448 | 27,910 | 2.95 | 430,418 | 182,190 |
| Side | Strike | Expiry | Vol | OI | Vol/OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ๐ข Call | 360 | 2026-10-14 | 25,466 | 5,976 | 4x |
| ๐ข Call | 357.5 | 2026-10-14 | 20,763 | 3,614 | 6x |
| ๐ข Call | 355 | 2026-10-14 | 15,165 | 3,242 | 5x |
| ๐ข Call | 365 | 2026-10-14 | 12,121 | 2,229 | 5x |
| ๐ข Call | 362.5 | 2026-10-14 | 11,873 | 2,717 | 4x |
| ๐ด Put | 350 | 2026-10-14 | 9,119 | 3,036 | 3x |
| 20 SMA | 346.53 (+2.1%) | โ |
| 50 SMA | 345.79 (+2.3%) | โ |
| 200 SMA | 340.42 (+3.9%) | โ |
| RSI 14 | 58.2 | โ |
| Support / resistance (20d) | 335.51 / 364.17 | โ |
| Relative volume | 0.91x | โ ๏ธ |
| ๐ข Trend | 3/3 key SMAs below price |
| ๐ข RSI | 58.2 |
| ๐ข Sources | 5 credible accounts, 0 with ๐ฐ skin in the game |
| ๐ข Options flow | C/P vol 2.94, C/P OI 2.35 |
| ๐ก Volume | 0.91x average |
| ๐ข Sector flow | XLC 5d +0.6% vs SPY โ0.1%, rel vol 1.09: inflow |
Five chart accounts now point at the same coil under 356โ360 sitting on the 200 SMA (340), and RedDogT3 called out GOOGL's relative strength after the CPI print. The data backs it: price is above the 20, 50 and 200 SMAs, RSI is 58, and GOOGL is green pre-market (~355.7) while QQQ is down 0.7%. Flow is the best on the board, with call volume 2.9x puts, call OI 2.35x puts, and two big put sales ($3.8M and $5M at the 340 strike). I'd still wait for a daily close above 356 before treating it as filled.
| Source credibility | 15/20 | 3 credible accounts, 0 ๐ฐ counted double โ weight 3 ร 5 | |
| Technical confirmation | 22/25 | MAs above 20/50/200: 3/3 ยท RSI 66.0 ยท claim confirmed ยท Extended 4.8% over 20 SMA after a 6% two-day run; earnings Oct 21 inside the swing window (-3) | |
| Reward:risk | 11/15 | 2.2:1 (R:R/3 ร 15) | |
| Volume / momentum | 6/10 | Relative volume 1.03x | |
| Sector flow | 10/10 | XLC 5d +0.6% vs SPY โ0.1%, rel vol 1.09: inflow | |
| ๐ Options flow | 18/20 | C/P vol 1.54 (+3) ยท C/P OI 1.56 (+2) ยท 1 credible flow post(s) agree (+3) |
No credible account said they are in this trade. Confirmations are commentary only (weight 1 each).
XLC 5d +0.6% vs SPY โ0.1%, rel vol 1.09: inflow
| Expiry | Call vol | Put vol | C/P | Call OI | Put OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 319,653 | 212,761 | 1.50 | 47,202 | 43,254 |
| 2026-10-16 | 132,062 | 81,152 | 1.63 | 345,374 | 207,653 |
| Side | Strike | Expiry | Vol | OI | Vol/OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ๐ข Call | 770 | 2026-10-14 | 43,205 | 2,448 | 18x |
| ๐ข Call | 780 | 2026-10-14 | 37,454 | 3,027 | 12x |
| ๐ข Call | 765 | 2026-10-14 | 35,739 | 3,332 | 11x |
| ๐ด Put | 760 | 2026-10-14 | 31,573 | 3,153 | 10x |
| ๐ข Call | 800 | 2026-10-14 | 31,205 | 6,037 | 5x |
| ๐ด Put | 745 | 2026-10-14 | 28,275 | 3,004 | 9x |
| 20 SMA | 727.66 (+4.8%) | โ |
| 50 SMA | 646.9 (+17.9%) | โ |
| 200 SMA | 631.0 (+20.8%) | โ |
| RSI 14 | 66.0 | โ |
| Support / resistance (20d) | 660.8 / 779.82 | โ |
| Relative volume | 1.03x | โ |
| ๐ข Trend | 3/3 key SMAs below price |
| ๐ข RSI | 66.0 |
| ๐ข Sources | 3 credible accounts, 0 with ๐ฐ skin in the game |
| ๐ข Options flow | C/P vol 1.54, C/P OI 1.56 |
| ๐ข Volume | 1.03x average |
| ๐ข Sector flow | XLC 5d +0.6% vs SPY โ0.1%, rel vol 1.09: inflow |
Three accounts agree the reversal off the 20 SMA is real, Goldman reiterated a buy this morning, and $14M of 740 puts were sold last week. But META is 4.8% above its 20 SMA with RSI 66, it sits under 779.82 resistance, and earnings land Oct 21. Chasing at ~758 pre-market gives poor reward. A pullback to 745 with a stop under the 20 SMA (726) gives about 2.2:1 to the 786.80 high, so that's the only entry I'd take.
| Source credibility | 20/20 | 8 credible accounts, 2 ๐ฐ counted double โ weight 10 ร 5 | |
| Technical confirmation | 22/25 | MAs above 20/50/200: 3/3 ยท RSI 60.5 ยท claim confirmed ยท Long upper wick: 348.15 high rejected Tue; premarket ~343 (+0.5%) despite hot CPI (-3) | |
| Reward:risk | 12/15 | 2.5:1 (R:R/3 ร 15) | |
| Volume / momentum | 6/10 | Relative volume 1.05x | |
| Sector flow | 3/10 | XLK 5d โ2.8% (outflow) but AAPL +2.3% 5d and green pre-market: stock-specific strength | |
| ๐ Options flow | 15/20 | C/P vol 1.99 (+3) ยท C/P OI 1.46 (+2) |
| @JPATrades | 238k | ๐ฐ Traded the back-test with $AAPL 350 calls (+100%) | ๐ post |
| @Prophitcy | 144k | ๐ฐ Posted a call entry: Oct 16 $352.5C at $0.95 | ๐ post |
XLK 5d โ2.8% (outflow) but AAPL +2.3% 5d and green pre-market: stock-specific strength
| Expiry | Call vol | Put vol | C/P | Call OI | Put OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 425,784 | 211,495 | 2.01 | 83,258 | 49,889 |
| 2026-10-16 | 205,069 | 105,010 | 1.95 | 482,675 | 337,513 |
| Side | Strike | Expiry | Vol | OI | Vol/OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ๐ข Call | 350 | 2026-10-14 | 112,888 | 20,864 | 5x |
| ๐ข Call | 347.5 | 2026-10-14 | 94,209 | 7,122 | 13x |
| ๐ข Call | 345 | 2026-10-14 | 81,186 | 10,837 | 7x |
| ๐ด Put | 340 | 2026-10-14 | 60,301 | 8,055 | 7x |
| ๐ด Put | 342.5 | 2026-10-14 | 44,121 | 4,095 | 11x |
| ๐ข Call | 352.5 | 2026-10-14 | 41,068 | 7,570 | 5x |
No credible flow-account post on this ticker in the scan window.
| 20 SMA | 336.28 (+1.5%) | โ |
| 50 SMA | 323.79 (+5.4%) | โ |
| 200 SMA | 291.42 (+17.1%) | โ |
| RSI 14 | 60.5 | โ |
| Support / resistance (20d) | 325.81 / 348.15 | โ |
| Relative volume | 1.05x | โ |
| ๐ข Trend | 3/3 key SMAs below price |
| ๐ข RSI | 60.5 |
| ๐ข Sources | 8 credible accounts, 2 with ๐ฐ skin in the game |
| ๐ข Options flow | C/P vol 1.99, C/P OI 1.46 |
| ๐ข Volume | 1.05x average |
| ๐ด Sector flow | XLK 5d โ2.8% (outflow) but AAPL +2.3% 5d and green pre-market: stock-specific strength |
Nine credible accounts are on the same record-high breakout, two of them with call trades on. My own check agrees: AAPL closed at a record 341.27 with the 20, 50 and 200 SMAs all below it and RSI 60, and it's trading about 343 pre-market even though the hot 3.7% CPI print knocked QQQ down 0.7%. That kind of relative strength is what you want. Call volume was 2x puts and call open interest 1.46x puts. What still holds it back is the 348.15 rejection and average volume, so I'd hold the 341 entry and only add above 348.15.
Not picks. Too few credible confirmations, sources that disagree, or no tradeable level.
Claim: $200 support / 30-week SMA test vs. a broken year-long trendline
๐ Data: Close 206.86, pre-market ~194.7 (โ5.9%): below the $200 support and the 20-day low 197.60. RSI 41.7, 20 SMA 229.24, 200 SMA 172.63. Call/put volume 2.0.
๐ค Accounts disagree, and pre-market has already broken the $200 level both of them flagged. It's a Never Sell core name, so no cut call, but don't add until it reclaims 200 or tests the 200-day SMA near 173.
Claim: 1,420 support test; bearish put holder
๐ Data: Close 1482.33, RSI 38.3, 12.4% below 20 SMA, 20-day low 1401.01. SMH โ1.9% pre-market.
๐ค Single source and it's a bearish trade; memory is in outflow. Watch 1,400โ1,420 for a bounce setup.
| Ticker | Grade | Setup | Entry | Target | Stop | Status | P&L | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | C | Holding above 200-day SMA / tightening under resistance | $353.78 | $384.48 | $337.90 | โช closed | +0.00% | downgraded: single source |
| AAPL | B+ | Breakout to all-time highs, back-test held | $341.27 | $357.19 | $334.90 | ๐ข open | -0.00% | v3 close run: 7 credible accounts, 2 ๐ฐ; flow 15/20 |
| META | B- | Bullish reversal off the 20 SMA | $762.50 | $786.80 | $726.00 | ๐ข open | +0.00% | v3 close run: 3 accounts; flow 18/20; R:R 0.67, earnings Oct 21 |
| GOOGL | B+ | Buy-stop on close above 356 (coil above 200 SMA) | $356.00 | $372.00 | $349.90 | โณ pending | +0.00% | v3: 3 accounts + 2 put-selling flow posts; fills only on close >356 |
SPY 5-day: -0.14%. Inflow = up over 5 days, beating SPY, and volume above average. โญ RELL (Industrial) +11.7% 5d ยท 2.84x vol
| Theme | # | Today | 5-day | Rel vol | Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial | 2 | +2.27% | +6.45% | 1.91x | ๐ง Inflow |
| Oil & Gas | 1 | +2.48% | +4.23% | 1.32x | ๐ง Inflow |
| Voice Ai | 2 | -0.55% | +3.39% | 0.36x | ใฐ๏ธ Neutral |
| Mag 7 | 7 | +0.47% | +0.70% | 0.87x | ใฐ๏ธ Neutral |
| Memory - 2Nd Derivative | 3 | -1.60% | -0.11% | 0.94x | ใฐ๏ธ Neutral |
| General | 3 | +0.04% | -0.57% | 0.72x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Crypto | 1 | +1.19% | -1.32% | 0.69x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Software | 1 | -2.44% | -2.14% | 0.88x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Cybersecurity | 5 | -0.82% | -3.94% | 0.8x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Metals | 3 | -1.97% | -5.10% | 0.86x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Medical | 1 | +0.34% | -5.22% | 0.52x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Defence | 2 | -2.24% | -5.83% | 0.9x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Power | 7 | -1.24% | -6.97% | 0.91x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Semi Supply Chain | 4 | -0.22% | -7.43% | 0.93x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Nuclear/Rare Earths | 5 | -2.15% | -10.09% | 0.82x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Memory - Direct | 3 | -2.47% | -10.26% | 1.26x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Robotics/Edgeai | 3 | -0.98% | -10.97% | 1.0x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Power Semis | 3 | -0.19% | -12.29% | 1.06x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Space | 3 | -3.05% | -13.63% | 0.9x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Photonics | 6 | -0.38% | -15.82% | 0.92x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Ai Infrastructure | 1 | -1.52% | -17.21% | 1.09x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Ticker | Claim | Why rejected |
|---|---|---|
| SPY / QQQ | Futures fell on the hot CPI print (@Investingcom, @MrZackMorris); SPY ~775, QQQ ~738 pre-market | ๐ซ Macro reaction, not swing setups |
| MU, NVDA | Oversold talk and 'lose the 200 DMA at $203' warning (@TheLongInvest) | ๐ซ No buy trigger; SMH โ1.9% pre-market |
| Macro | CPI 3.7% (@KobeissiLetter, @Polymarket), 2yr +15bps (@MikeZaccardi), 44% odds of an Oct 28 hike | ๐ซ Context for risk, not a pick |
| Many tickers | Promo posts and accounts under 50k with low engagement | ๐ซ Fails the source-quality filter |
๐งช Research, not financial advice. Prices: Yahoo Finance daily bars. Posts: X, linked above. No leveraged products, no naked options. ยท ๐ All reports ยท ๐๏ธ This day's runs