๐ฆ X-sourced swing setups, each confirmed by as many independent credible accounts as we can find (๐ฐ skin-in-the-game posts count double), cross-checked with ๐ options flow, checked against real price data, then graded. โ Act only on B+ or better; lower grades are watch-only.
| Ticker | Grade | Score | Setup | ๐ฃ๏ธ | ๐ฐ | ๐ | Entry | Target | Stop | R:R | My verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ๐ GOOGL | B+ | 77 | Coiling above the 200 SMA under 356โ360 resistance: buy the breakout | 5 | 0 | 5 | $356.00 | $372.00 | $349.90 | 2.62:1 | โ ๏ธ Cautious |
| ๐ AAPL | B | 74 | Breakout to all-time highs, back-test held | 8 | 2 | 3 | $341.27 | $357.19 | $334.90 | 2.5:1 | โ Agree |
| ๐ META | B | 71 | Bullish reversal off the 20 SMA: pullback buy at 745 (filled today) | 3 | 0 | 5 | $745.00 | $786.80 | $726.00 | 2.2:1 | โ ๏ธ Cautious |
A+ 90+B+ 75+B 70+C 55+F <45
| Source credibility | 20/20 | 5 credible accounts, 0 ๐ฐ counted double โ weight 5 ร 5 | |
| Technical confirmation | 15/25 | MAs above 20/50/200: 3/3 ยท RSI 52.2 ยท claim partial ยท Failed breakout: spiked to 359.40 after the open, then reversed to ~348.8, back under 356 and below the 349.90 stop line (-6) | |
| Reward:risk | 13/15 | 2.62:1 (R:R/3 ร 15) | |
| Volume / momentum | 4/10 | Relative volume 0.52x | |
| Sector flow | 5/10 | XLC 5d โ0.7% vs SPY โ1.1%, โ1.6% today: neutral (no longer inflow) | |
| ๐ Options flow | 20/20 | C/P vol 2.67 (+3) ยท C/P OI 2.35 (+2) ยท 2 credible flow post(s) agree (+6) |
No credible account said they are in this trade. Confirmations are commentary only (weight 1 each).
XLC 5d โ0.7% vs SPY โ1.1%, โ1.6% today: neutral (no longer inflow)
| Expiry | Call vol | Put vol | C/P | Call OI | Put OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 165,614 | 66,642 | 2.49 | 38,213 | 17,264 |
| 2026-10-16 | 72,580 | 22,692 | 3.20 | 430,418 | 182,190 |
| Side | Strike | Expiry | Vol | OI | Vol/OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ๐ข Call | 355 | 2026-10-14 | 42,100 | 3,242 | 13x |
| ๐ข Call | 357.5 | 2026-10-14 | 41,596 | 3,614 | 12x |
| ๐ข Call | 360 | 2026-10-14 | 39,899 | 5,976 | 7x |
| ๐ด Put | 352.5 | 2026-10-14 | 19,744 | 1,516 | 13x |
| ๐ข Call | 362.5 | 2026-10-14 | 15,536 | 2,717 | 6x |
| ๐ด Put | 355 | 2026-10-14 | 15,458 | 987 | 16x |
| 20 SMA | 346.81 (+0.5%) | โ |
| 50 SMA | 345.21 (+1.0%) | โ |
| 200 SMA | 340.59 (+2.4%) | โ |
| RSI 14 | 52.2 | โ |
| Support / resistance (20d) | 335.51 / 364.17 | โ |
| Relative volume | 0.52x | โ ๏ธ |
| ๐ข Trend | 3/3 key SMAs below price |
| ๐ข RSI | 52.2 |
| ๐ข Sources | 5 credible accounts, 0 with ๐ฐ skin in the game |
| ๐ข Options flow | C/P vol 2.67, C/P OI 2.35 |
| ๐ก Volume | 0.52x average |
| ๐ก Sector flow | XLC 5d โ0.7% vs SPY โ1.1%, โ1.6% today: neutral (no longer inflow) |
The breakout the chart accounts were waiting for showed up and failed. GOOGL ran to 359.40 right after the open, cleared the 356โ360 zone for a moment, then sold off with the market to ~348.8, down 1.4% and below the 349.90 stop level. Because the entry only counts on a daily close above 356, nothing was bought. It still holds above the 20 SMA (346.8), 50 SMA (345.2) and 200 SMA (340.6), and option flow is still call-heavy (2.7x volume, 2.35x OI), but most of today's call volume is in same-day 355โ360 strikes that expired worthless. I'd leave it on watch and re-arm only on a real close above 356.
| Source credibility | 20/20 | 8 credible accounts, 2 ๐ฐ counted double โ weight 10 ร 5 | |
| Technical confirmation | 23/25 | MAs above 20/50/200: 3/3 ยท RSI 61.9 ยท claim confirmed ยท Green (+0.5%) on a โ1.1% SPY day; intraday high 347.07 still under the 348.15 record-high rejection (-2) | |
| Reward:risk | 12/15 | 2.5:1 (R:R/3 ร 15) | |
| Volume / momentum | 4/10 | Relative volume 0.63x | |
| Sector flow | 3/10 | XLK 5d โ5.1% and โ2.7% today (outflow), but AAPL is +0.4% today and +1.8% over 5 days: stock-specific strength | |
| ๐ Options flow | 12/20 | C/P vol 1.27 (0) ยท C/P OI 1.46 (+2) |
| @JPATrades | 238k | ๐ฐ Traded the back-test with $AAPL 350 calls (+100%) | ๐ post |
| @Prophitcy | 144k | ๐ฐ Posted a call entry: Oct 16 $352.5C at $0.95 | ๐ post |
XLK 5d โ5.1% and โ2.7% today (outflow), but AAPL is +0.4% today and +1.8% over 5 days: stock-specific strength
| Expiry | Call vol | Put vol | C/P | Call OI | Put OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 456,678 | 351,371 | 1.30 | 83,258 | 49,889 |
| 2026-10-16 | 143,240 | 120,519 | 1.19 | 482,675 | 337,513 |
| Side | Strike | Expiry | Vol | OI | Vol/OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ๐ข Call | 347.5 | 2026-10-14 | 167,069 | 7,122 | 23x |
| ๐ด Put | 342.5 | 2026-10-14 | 121,370 | 4,095 | 30x |
| ๐ข Call | 350 | 2026-10-14 | 121,187 | 20,864 | 6x |
| ๐ด Put | 345 | 2026-10-14 | 118,805 | 3,812 | 31x |
| ๐ข Call | 345 | 2026-10-14 | 118,611 | 10,837 | 11x |
| ๐ด Put | 340 | 2026-10-14 | 63,649 | 8,055 | 8x |
No credible flow-account post on this ticker in the scan window.
| 20 SMA | 336.8 (+1.8%) | โ |
| 50 SMA | 324.46 (+5.7%) | โ |
| 200 SMA | 291.77 (+17.5%) | โ |
| RSI 14 | 61.9 | โ |
| Support / resistance (20d) | 325.81 / 348.15 | โ |
| Relative volume | 0.63x | โ ๏ธ |
| ๐ข Trend | 3/3 key SMAs below price |
| ๐ข RSI | 61.9 |
| ๐ข Sources | 8 credible accounts, 2 with ๐ฐ skin in the game |
| ๐ข Options flow | C/P vol 1.27, C/P OI 1.46 |
| ๐ก Volume | 0.63x average |
| ๐ด Sector flow | XLK 5d โ5.1% and โ2.7% today (outflow), but AAPL is +0.4% today and +1.8% over 5 days: stock-specific strength |
Nothing has changed for the worse. AAPL is up about 0.5% at ~343 while the S&P is down 1.1% and the Nasdaq 100 1.8%, so the relative strength the nine accounts flagged is holding through the CPI selloff. Price sits above the 20 SMA (336.8), 50 SMA (324.5) and 200 SMA (291.8), RSI is 62, and the 334.90 stop is about 2.4% away. It pushed to 347.07 in the morning but couldn't clear Tuesday's 348.15 high, so I'd keep holding the 341.27 entry and only add on a break through 348.15.
| Source credibility | 15/20 | 3 credible accounts, 0 ๐ฐ counted double โ weight 3 ร 5 | |
| Technical confirmation | 21/25 | MAs above 20/50/200: 3/3 ยท RSI 57.7 ยท claim confirmed ยท Buy-limit at 745 filled as META fell to 734.29; now ~736.3, under the entry but above the 20 SMA (730.8) and the 726 stop. Earnings Oct 21 (-4) | |
| Reward:risk | 11/15 | 2.2:1 (R:R/3 ร 15) | |
| Volume / momentum | 4/10 | Relative volume 0.43x | |
| Sector flow | 5/10 | XLC 5d โ0.7% vs SPY โ1.1%, โ1.6% today: neutral | |
| ๐ Options flow | 15/20 | C/P vol 1.31 (0) ยท C/P OI 1.56 (+2) ยท 1 credible flow post(s) agree (+3) |
No credible account said they are in this trade. Confirmations are commentary only (weight 1 each).
XLC 5d โ0.7% vs SPY โ1.1%, โ1.6% today: neutral
| Expiry | Call vol | Put vol | C/P | Call OI | Put OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 193,778 | 153,852 | 1.26 | 47,202 | 43,254 |
| 2026-10-16 | 70,858 | 48,711 | 1.45 | 345,374 | 207,653 |
| Side | Strike | Expiry | Vol | OI | Vol/OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ๐ข Call | 760 | 2026-10-14 | 26,692 | 1,379 | 19x |
| ๐ข Call | 755 | 2026-10-14 | 26,688 | 1,339 | 20x |
| ๐ข Call | 750 | 2026-10-14 | 24,229 | 671 | 36x |
| ๐ด Put | 740 | 2026-10-14 | 22,627 | 3,547 | 6x |
| ๐ข Call | 765 | 2026-10-14 | 20,192 | 3,332 | 6x |
| ๐ด Put | 745 | 2026-10-14 | 18,016 | 3,004 | 6x |
| 20 SMA | 730.79 (+0.7%) | โ |
| 50 SMA | 649.86 (+13.2%) | โ |
| 200 SMA | 631.36 (+16.6%) | โ |
| RSI 14 | 57.7 | โ |
| Support / resistance (20d) | 660.8 / 779.82 | โ |
| Relative volume | 0.43x | โ ๏ธ |
| ๐ข Trend | 3/3 key SMAs below price |
| ๐ข RSI | 57.7 |
| ๐ข Sources | 3 credible accounts, 0 with ๐ฐ skin in the game |
| ๐ข Options flow | C/P vol 1.31, C/P OI 1.56 |
| ๐ก Volume | 0.43x average |
| ๐ก Sector flow | XLC 5d โ0.7% vs SPY โ1.1%, โ1.6% today: neutral |
The pullback we wanted came faster than expected: META dropped 3.4% with the Nasdaq and hit 734.29, so the 745 limit filled. It's now ~736, a little under the entry, still above the 20 SMA (730.8) and well above the 50 and 200 SMAs, with RSI cooling to 58. The plan is unchanged: stop 726 under the 20 SMA, target 786.80. The risk is that today's selloff keeps going into PPI tomorrow and earnings on Oct 21, so I wouldn't add more until it reclaims 745.
Not picks. Too few credible confirmations, sources that disagree, or no tradeable level.
Claim: Testing its 21-month EMA near $61, a level it has held on every pullback since its breakout
๐ Data: Now 60.33 (โ6.0% today, โ16% in 5 days). 21-month EMA 60.82, so the level claim checks out; today's low 60.10, 60-day low 58.20. Below the 20 SMA (69.75), 50 SMA (70.14) and 200 SMA (81.44); RSI 34.5. Call/put volume 1.93, OI 1.53.
๐ค Only one credible account (with skin in the game), so it's watch-only by the rules. It's a Never Sell core name, so the 21-month EMA near 60.8 is a reasonable spot to add a little if it holds into the close; a daily close under 58.20 would break it.
Claim: Bouncing off its rising 50-day SMA while holding above the 200-day SMA
๐ Data: Now 69.36 (+1.6% on a red day). Low 66.35 tagged the 50 SMA (66.98) and bounced; 200 SMA 56.72; still under the 20 SMA (76.58). RSI 46.6. Call/put volume 3.1.
๐ค Clean bounce and strong relative strength, but single source. Watch for a second credible confirmation or a reclaim of the 20 SMA.
Claim: $200 support broke
๐ Data: Now ~186 (โ10.1% today, โ21.6% in 5 days) on 1.3x volume: well below the $200 support both accounts flagged. RSI 35, 200 SMA 173.13. zerohedge flagged CoreWeave 'imploding' today, which is hitting AI infrastructure names.
๐ค Support failed as feared. Never Sell core, so no cut, but don't add until it reclaims 200 or tests the 200-day SMA near 173.
Claim: Multi-year support with the 200-day SMA 'right below'
๐ Data: Now ~926 (โ2.9% today, โ14.9% in 5 days), at the 20-day low 919.70. The daily 200 SMA is 711.78, about 30% lower, so the '200 right below' claim doesn't match daily data. RSI 37.4. SOX on pace for a 6th straight red day (@StockMKTNewz).
๐ค Claim only partly checks out and it's a single source in a sector with heavy outflow. Wait for the semis selling to stop.
Claim: 1,420 support test (from premarket)
๐ Data: Now ~1,417 (โ4.4%), right at the 1,420 level and just above the 1,401 low. RSI 35.
๐ค Testing the level live; a hold above 1,400 into the close would be the first sign of a bounce.
| Ticker | Grade | Setup | Entry | Target | Stop | Status | P&L | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | C | Holding above 200-day SMA / tightening under resistance | $353.78 | $384.48 | $337.90 | โช closed | +0.00% | downgraded: single source |
| AAPL | B+ | Breakout to all-time highs, back-test held | $341.27 | $357.19 | $334.90 | ๐ข open | +0.44% | v3 close run: 7 credible accounts, 2 ๐ฐ; flow 15/20 |
| META | B- | Bullish reversal off the 20 SMA | $762.50 | $786.80 | $726.00 | ๐ข open | -3.43% | v3 close run: 3 accounts; flow 18/20; R:R 0.67, earnings Oct 21 |
| GOOGL | B+ | Buy-stop on close above 356 (coil above 200 SMA) | $356.00 | $372.00 | $349.90 | โณ pending | +0.00% | v3: 3 accounts + 2 put-selling flow posts; fills only on close >356 |
| META | A- | Pullback buy at 745 off the 20 SMA reversal | $745.00 | $786.80 | $726.00 | ๐ข open | -1.16% | premarket buy-limit 745 filled intraday Oct 14 (low 734.29) |
SPY 5-day: -1.06%. Inflow = up over 5 days, beating SPY, and volume above average.
| Theme | # | Today | 5-day | Rel vol | Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil & Gas | 1 | -0.08% | +4.01% | 0.3x | ใฐ๏ธ Neutral |
| Voice Ai | 2 | -4.27% | -0.47% | 0.17x | ใฐ๏ธ Neutral |
| Industrial | 2 | -4.73% | -0.76% | 0.51x | ใฐ๏ธ Neutral |
| Mag 7 | 7 | -1.81% | -1.02% | 0.49x | ใฐ๏ธ Neutral |
| Medical | 1 | +1.63% | -1.45% | 0.55x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| General | 3 | -1.62% | -1.92% | 0.63x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Defence | 2 | -2.77% | -6.57% | 0.56x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Metals | 3 | -4.50% | -6.71% | 0.66x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Crypto | 1 | -7.65% | -6.79% | 0.63x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Cybersecurity | 5 | -6.74% | -8.32% | 0.85x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Semi Supply Chain | 4 | -4.05% | -9.81% | 0.44x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Memory - 2Nd Derivative | 3 | -6.73% | -9.93% | 0.49x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Power | 7 | -6.16% | -9.99% | 0.49x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Robotics/Edgeai | 3 | -4.66% | -12.16% | 0.54x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Nuclear/Rare Earths | 5 | -7.01% | -12.36% | 0.92x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Software | 1 | -13.39% | -12.76% | 1.04x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Space | 3 | -4.78% | -14.45% | 0.53x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Power Semis | 3 | -6.84% | -14.97% | 0.47x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Memory - Direct | 3 | -3.85% | -15.63% | 0.66x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Photonics | 6 | -7.12% | -18.82% | 0.64x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Ai Infrastructure | 1 | -10.15% | -21.62% | 1.32x | ๐ฅ Outflow |
| Ticker | Claim | Why rejected |
|---|---|---|
| SPY / QQQ | S&P โ1.1% (worst day since Jul 29, @MikeZaccardi), Nasdaq 100 โ1.6% as oil tops $96 (@KobeissiLetter); $1.8B SPY put wall at 772 (@CheddarFlow); QQQ gap fill near 720 (@Venu_7_); SPX move 2.3x the priced CPI straddle (@spotgamma) | ๐ซ Macro and index levels, not swing setups |
| SOXX | OptionsHawk: opening sale of 3,500 Jan $480 puts | ๐ซ Index flow, not a watchlist name; SOX on a 6-day losing streak |
| GOOGL, AMZN, META, MSFT | @Banana3Stocks 'AI trade isn't over' post | ๐ซ Opinion, no level or chart |
| Many tickers | Promo posts and accounts under 50k with low engagement | ๐ซ Fails the source-quality filter |
๐งช Research, not financial advice. Prices: Yahoo Finance daily bars. Posts: X, linked above. No leveraged products, no naked options. ยท ๐ All reports ยท ๐๏ธ This day's runs